Have pesticides been killing them off?
Are South American hunters shooting them?
Is it an avian disease? Acid rain?
Nobody knew for sure until one hawk watcher, Kirk Moulton, decided to test a theory that maybe the broad-wings had just changed their migration route. (Other hawk species didn't seem to be suffering such a decline.)
Last month, working with the sanctuary's staff, Moulton organized an 11-day hawk watch. Amateur birdwatchers were assigned to perches every five miles
from the Appalachian Mountains to the Delaware River. By the time the study was completed on Sept. 20, several hundred amateur ornithologists had participated.
Most scientists had thought the broad-winged hawks flew south along narrow routes that closely followed the ridges of the Appalachians. But Moulton's team found that their flight path was much wider, extending from the mountains to the Delaware River.
"We're delighted," Moulton said. "This is the first time anybody has actually proved that their migratory pathway has changed."
Moulton's discovery is a prime example of the research done by the Hawk Mountain Sanctuary Association, a nonprofit research, conservation and education group.
Since the sanctuary was founded 60 years ago, its members have compiled the longest, most detailed migratory record of hawks, eagles, falcons and other raptors of any institution on Earth.
Based on the organization's records, more than 120 scientific papers about migratory birds have been published. Many of the nation's leading naturalists, including Roger Tory Peterson, the dean of American birding, have spent time here. Rachel Carson used Hawk Mountain statistics to write her classic book, Silent Spring, which documented the impact of pesticides on birds and other wildlife.