I still think that today.
And, yeah, I know last night's results are muddled and lots can happen between now and the Democratic convention in Denver and the general election in November.
But it's gonna be Barack Obama.
The reasons are multiple:
* His demonstrated ability to attract new voters. I don't see Hillary Clinton getting more or new support.
* His momentum. Hillary has held huge leads. Gallup Poll daily tracking shows she led Obama by 16 points less than two weeks ago, but by just five points this week. And she's already had her comeback.
* The war, the economy, health care, partisanship, politics as usual, Clinton (both of them) fatigue and America's inherent ability to hope for something better.
* And common sense.
Republican voters, actually to my surprise, are about to crown John McCain. I assume they realize he's the only Republican with an ability to attract independents and some Democrats, and therefore the only Republican with any shot at winning the presidency.
I think Democrats, perhaps more slowly, will realize Obama has a better shot than Hillary (too much baggage, too much Bill) because he, unlike she, is not polarizing and will not fire up the GOP base.
If you recall, he even said nice things about Ronald Reagan.
Experience?
I don't buy that argument. Neither Hillary nor Obama has executive experience.
And pure experience is over-rated. Who brought more experience to government than Dick Cheney and Donald Rumsfeld, and what good did it do the country?
(I won't mention President Bush. His father, then his father's friends, carried him.)
And I like JFK's answer when he ran, younger than Obama: "Experience is like taillights on a boat which illuminate where we have been when we should be focusing on where we should be going."
