N.J. guv's race is too close to call, poll finds

October 31, 2009|By JASON NARK, narkj@phillynews.com 856-779-3231
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  • Chris Christie (above left), Republican candidate for N.J. governor, looks on in West Milford as former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani stumps for him yesterday. Above right is Gov. Jon Corzine, shown shaking hands at a Newark senior-citizen community center yesterday. The race was too close to call, a poll found yesterday.
  • Chris Daggett

IT'S THE BOTTOM of the ninth inning, the fourth quarter and sudden death all rolled into one for New Jersey voters as the decision on who will be governor looms just days away.

Those voters, barraged by negative ads from all sides, burdened with the country's highest property taxes and burned by elected officials who break the law, will be getting dozens of pep talks this weekend as all three candidates try to solidify their base and pull some swing voters their way before Election Day on Tuesday.

And morale is low.

"Our taxes won't go down no matter who's in office," said Robert "Donkey" Lucas, tending bar at Donkey's Place, a Camden institution for more than 60 years.

Sitting across the bar from Lucas, Robert Burnham, a "truly middle-class citizen," said incumbent Jon S. Corzine has done "all right" so far.

"I don't know too much about this Christie guy," said Burnham, a boilermaker, referring to Republican candidate Christopher J. Christie.

Political analysts say the biggest issue is whether traditional Democrats, some less than thrilled by Corzine's first term, will shed the malaise and turn out in full force to support him.

"The whole election is really going to hinge on the Democrat party's mobilization effort," said Richard Harris, director of the Walter Rand Institute for Public Affairs at Rutgers-Camden. "If they can mobilize their voters to turn out, they should be OK."

In New Jersey, there are about 700,000 more registered Democrats than Republicans, with a powerful 2.4 million unaffiliated with any party.

Christie, a former U.S. Attorney, has a smaller but more energized base at the moment, said Ben Dworkin, director of the Rebovich Institute for New Jersey Politics, and there's no doubt his supporters will be in the polling booths bright and early Tuesday.

"It really comes down to an approach to politics," Dworkin said. "Which do you think is more important, the side that has a lot more voters but are less enthused or the side that has less voters and are more enthused?"

Corzine spokeswoman Lis Smith said the governor and lieutenant governor candidate Loretta Weinberg have "all of the momentum going into the final days of the campaign."

"People across New Jersey recognize that Gov. Corzine is fighting for what matters most to New Jersey families - getting health coverage for over 100,000 more kids, strongly supporting a woman's right to choose, and passing paid family leave that allows workers to care for their loved ones," Smith said yesterday.

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