John Smallwood: No easy path for top seeds in NFL playoffs

January 08, 2010
  • Quarterback Philip Rivers has helped Chargers put together 11-game winning streak.

LET'S FACE IT, the NFL playoffs are the best postseason format of any of the professional leagues.

It's 12 teams in four weekends of play for the most coveted prize in American sports.

Because of the sudden-death scenario of each game, the best team on paper does not always win.

In a three-, five- or seven-game series, the best team will usually find a way to win.

But there is no margin for error in the NFL. If you lose Game 1, you don't get a chance to rectify things in Games 2 or 3.

That's why the NFL playoffs are famous for surprising finishes and shocking upsets.

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"Any given Sunday," takes on new meaning in the playoffs.

The last time both of the No. 1 seeds in the NFC and AFC reached the Super Bowl was 1993. The last Super Bowl won by a No. 1 seed was the Patriots after the 2003 season.

That should provide a note of caution for the Colts and Saints - this year's top seeds.

If you're a fan of the Eagles, Ravens, Packers and Jets, you can stake your hopes in the knowledge that two of the last four Super Bowl winners (Pittsburgh and the Giants) were wild-card teams.

None of that will have any actual bearing on the playoffs - which begin tomorrow with the Jets at the Bengals, and Eagles at the Cowboys - but it points out the zany nature of the NFL playoffs where anything can happen and usually does.

Playoff success is more about which teams are playing the best when the postseason starts than who played well for most of the season.

The NFC playoffs are fascinating since it can be argued that the three teams who finished the strongest are all playing this weekend.

In the final 4 weeks, the Cowboys, Eagles and Packers were 3-1.

That's a stark contrast to the Saints, who finished 1-3, and the second-seeded Vikings, who finished 2-2.

If you take away that massive, 24-0 hiccup last week in Dallas that cost them the No. 2 seed and first-round bye, the Eagles, who finished 6-1, are on the second-hottest streak in the league. The Chargers, who have a bye this weekend, have an 11-game winning streak.

A year ago, the Birds entered the playoffs as a No. 6 seed and worked their way to the NFC Championship Game.

If the Eagles can somehow get by Dallas, it's not hard to see them making a similar run.

Despite a 48-22 loss in Week 2 to the Saints, the Eagles could win in New Orleans against a team that has to be shaken after a 13-0 start resulted in a 13-3 record.

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