Too darn hot ... but not so deadly

This scorching summer has caused 15 deaths in Philadelphia — relatively few. The peril is not the humidity but long stretches of dry heat.

August 30, 2010|By Brooke Minters, Inquirer Staff Writer
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  • Alexis Jeffcoat tries to cool off while doing volunteer work for Habitat for Humanity.
  • Alexis Jeffcoat tries to cool off while doing volunteer work for Habitat for Humanity.
  • Zelda Acheampons walks home from classes at La Salle in June. The first week of that month produced the first heat wave, and two deaths.
  • Hannah Sheppard, 5, and her grandfather, Clinton Powell, cool off at Herron Playground in South Philadelphia. It was Aug. 10 - in the midst of a four-day spike above 90 degrees.

This June was the hottest on record in Philadelphia, July was No. 2, and August is projected to end in the top 10. Yet only 15 city residents have died of heat-related causes.

While any preventable death might be considered a tragedy, that number pales in comparison to the toll in other recent heat waves: 40 in 2002, 67 in 1999, 77 in 1995.

What's different this year?

No one fully understands the interplay of climate, medical conditions, and other factors that can be lethal for any given individual. Experts can, however, point to several weather facts that may have made this summer less dangerous even as it was more hot.

Heat early in the season, for example, can make people less vulnerable later. Shorter heat waves are less dangerous than longer ones. And high humidity, while uncomfortable, appears to be less deadly than dry heat.

"I personally haven't seen any emergencies that I attribute to heat," said Suzanne Shepherd, an emergency room doctor at the Hospital of the University of Pennsylvania.

Having a detailed response plan in place long before the heat hits helps - and the city has frequently been praised for the system that it developed following a 1993 heat wave that killed more than 100 people.

"Philadelphia is one of the leaders with heat-wave preparedness," said George Luber, an epidemiologist who works on weather-related health issues at the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. "Perhaps some of the decrease should be attributed to their outreach."

The National Weather Service considers a heat wave to be three days in a row at 90 degrees and above. At some point during that period, if risks to health appear to be escalating, the service issues an excessive heat warning.

"There are plenty of days when it's 90 and it's not going to be a problem," said Gary Szatkowski, chief meteorologist at the weather service's Mount Holly office. "It depends on the time, the humidity, heat index. You have to look at more than just temperature." No warning was contemplated this week, the weather service said Sunday.

A heat warning from the federal meteorologists triggers the city's emergency heat plan: thousands of block captains who check in with elderly neighbors, extended hours at senior centers, and mandatory continuation of water and power for people whose late payments might otherwise mean a shutoff.

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