Poll indicates Pennsylvania could be tough for Obama

Posted: April 14, 2011

President Obama heads into his reelection campaign with a precarious standing in the must-win state of Pennsylvania, a new poll shows.

Fifty-two percent of the surveyed voters in the state said they disapproved of the job Obama was doing, while 42 percent said they approved, according to Public Policy Polling, a Democratic-leaning firm in Raleigh, N.C. Interestingly, the Pennsylvania poll found Obama neck-and-neck with three potential Republican foes.

Obama trailed former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, 42 percent to 43 percent; led former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, 45 to 44; and led former Sen. Rick Santorum, 45 to 43, in Santorum's home state. All of those spreads were within the poll's margin of error of plus or minus 4 points.

The poll indicated Obama's problem was with independents and white Democrats. A majority of independents said they disapproved of his performance: 54 percent gave him bad marks, and 39 percent said he was doing a good job.

More significant, Pennsylvania Democrats gave Obama an overall approval rating of 68 percent - well below the 81 percent national average in the same company's polls.

"Obama's big problem in Pennsylvania right now is keeping conservative white Democrats in line," said Dean Debnam, president of Public Policy Polling. "They voted for him in [2008] but they have not liked what they've seen in his first two-plus years in office."

The pollsters surveyed 593 Pennsylvania voters between last Thursday and Sunday.

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