The Pulse: The real mischief at the polls

States say they're targeting voter fraud. But look whose votes are targeted.

October 09, 2011|By Michael Smerconish

That there is a nationwide effort under way to move the goalposts for the 2012 presidential election is undeniable. The various initiatives have one thing in common: Each would hinder President Obama's reelection. Coincidence? I think not.

Pursuant to new rules, several states will now require photo IDs or proof of citizenship from voters (and in some cases, from those registering to vote). Some are making it more difficult to carry out voter-registration drives. Others will reduce popular early or absentee voting opportunities.

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In Pennsylvania, pending legislation would convert the presidential election process from a winner-take-all approach to a proportional one. If the proposed system had been in place in 2008, Obama would have had a net gain of just one electoral vote, as opposed to the 21 he did earn.

I recently interviewed the president and asked him about the contemplated change here and the other efforts across the country.

"With respect to Pennsylvania, the people of Pennsylvania will ultimately decide how they want to allocate their electoral votes, and I'll leave that to them," he said.

"I will say that my big priority is making sure that as many people are participating in our democracy as possible. Some of these moves in some of the other states that we've seen - trying to make it tougher to vote, restricting ballot access, making it hard on seniors, making it hard on young people - I think that's a big mistake."

The nonpartisan Brennan Center for Justice at New York University's School of Law has calculated how big that mistake could be. In a report issued last month, the center found that in states that have chosen to require IDs or proof of citizenship, restricted voter-registration efforts and reduced early voting will account for 171 electoral votes - 63 percent of the total 270 needed to win the White House.

Taken together, the center has estimated that more than five million voters could be affected. How significant is that? In 2000, the popular-vote margin between George W. Bush and Al Gore was 543,895, while Bush won over John Kerry by 3,012,166 votes four years later.

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