Take Eagles as double-digit favorites

Posted: November 10, 2011

EAGLES (-13) over Cardinals

OK, so Double V picked up a few bucks wagering against the Birds last week, but it didn't make me happy. This is one frustrating team. They'll make you laugh (a gorgeous 34-7 crush job against Dallas) and they'll make you cry (a 30-24 loss to Chicago after leading by seven points in the third quarter). So, how do we sort through the mentality of these wacky Birds? Well, we know that at 3-5, they really have no room for another loss if the playoffs are still a goal. And with the Giants coming up next week on the road, then the Patriots coming to the Linc, it had better be 4-5 after the final gun sounds this week. The good news is that Arizona is on the other side of the field. And when the Cardinals pack their travel bags, it usually spells disaster. They have won just one of the last 13 on the road. Big bounce for the Green as they put the hammer down and roll.

CHIEFS (-3) over Broncos

Attention all you foodies out there, let's talk culinary . . . as in sandwiches. Last week, Kansas City came into the game against Miami on a four-game roll. The Chiefs fed Oakland a 28-0 bagel, and then squeezed past San Diego on Monday night, 23-20. So, coming off the Charger game, with another AFC West battle looming on the horizon (this game against Denver), the Dolphins became the Fish sandwich. And obviously, KC does not care for fish. That explains why Miami rolled to a 31-3 blowout. Now, it's the Broncos and the college-style option with Tim Tebow. The Chiefs have had a week to prepare, and should have an easy time with this Denver team that has managed only three wins the last 18 times on the road. This is my Best Bet, and if you want, parlay it to the over (the total is 41), which has hit at a 75% clip the last eight times these two hooked up at Arrowhead Stadium.

Bills (+6) over COWBOYS

Buffalo seems to have a handle on heading into enemy territory. The Bills smacked the Chiefs in the season opener (41-7), lost at Cincy (23-20), and were squeezed by the Giants in New Jersey (27-24). That's a win and two three-point losses. That tells me the Buffs are gonna be competitive against a Dallas team that has covered only three of its last 14 as a favorite.

FALCONS (Pick) over Saints

Coming off a playoff appearance and a sterling 13-3 record last season, Atlanta was expected to continue its winning ways. Didn't happen in the first month, as the Falcons dropped three of the first five. But the tide has turned dramatically. Atlanta has won three in a row, and its home record since 2008 has been magical. Winning 22 of the last 28 inside the Georgia Dome just about guarantees another W against the main rival in the NFC South.

49ERS (-3) over Giants

Huge win for the New Yorkers last week, but now the Giants are gonna butt helmets with perfection. We are speaking of San Francisco and its 7-0-1 record against the spread. And if it comes down to the last 2 minutes, which is very possible, then you wanna be all over Alex Smith. The Niners' QB is the best in the league with a 131.0 rating in the final 2 minutes.

BEARS (-3) over Lions

Chicago lost to the Lions in Detroit in October, 24-13, and the offensive line was utterly embarrassed. Since then, the Bears have won and covered three in a row.

Rams (+3) over BROWNS

In what universe should Cleveland be the favorite over any team? Since the Brownies have covered only three of the last 16 (19%), St. Loo is the side.

Steelers (-3) over BENGALS

Pitt has won 10 of the last 14 on the road and should handle the streaking Bengals.

Jaguars (-3) over COLTS

Monday's headline: Indianapolis falls to 0-10, Andrew Luck commits to the Horseshoes.

BUCCANEERS (+3) over Texans

Like the Houstonians, but not as a road favorite against a Tampa team that is desperate for a W.

PANTHERS (-3) over Titans

This Cam Newton kid is becoming a star in the spread community, leading Carolina to a 5-2-1 record.

Redskins (+4) over DOLPHINS

One win and the Fish are four-point chalk. Miami has covered just two of the last 11.

SEAHAWKS (+7) over Ravens

Gotta be a letdown after Baltimore's clutch road win over Pittsburgh last week. Gotta be.

Patriots (+1) over JETS

One thing Tom Brady has perfected is winning on the road, notching nine of the last 12.

Vikings (+13) over PACKERS

Green Bay wins for sure, but the Purple People will make it respectable with Christian Ponder at QB.

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