SANTORUM'S PRAIRIE FIRE: With upset victories, is he the real anti-Mitt?

February 08, 2012|BY WILL BUNCH, bunchw@phillynews.com 215-854-2957

RICK SANTORUM, prairie dog!

The political brushfire that the former Pennsylvania senator set in the cornfields of the Iowa caucuses last month - only to peter out in the moderate Atlantic breezes of New Hampshire and Florida - was rekindled yesterday with upset wins in Missouri's primary and Minnesota's caucuses.

And in the Colorado caucuses, with almost half the precincts reporting, Santorum had a commanding lead over Mitt Romney, as the champion of social conservatism pushed for what would be a stunning hat trick.

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But does Santorum's hard-won popularity with religious fundamentalists in the American Heartland make it now a two-man race with Romney - the delegate leader and still the overwhelming choice of the GOP establishment?

Or does the Pennsylvanian's lack of money and organization - and the fact that last night's victories won't translate to many delegates (zero in Missouri, where the vote was a "beauty contest") - mean that last night was just a right-wing temper tantrum on Romney's road to the nomination?

Those who know Santorum best aren't sure, but they said yesterday's success was a tribute to the tenacity of a candidate who was working the megachurches of suburban Minneapolis on Super Bowl Sunday while Romney took the day off to watch football.

"He believes - and he believes in himself more than anybody else believes in him," said Jon Delano, the politics editor at Pittsburgh's KDKA, who has watched Santorum since his upset win of a congressional seat in 1990. "That's fundamentally Rick Santorum and why he's been so successful.

Here are some major takeaways from Santorum's second surge:

The new anti-Mitt? The hardcore GOP base - older, white, evangelical, and sympathetic to the tea-party movement - continues to look for an alternative to the former Massachusetts governor, and so last night's Santorum wins could spell big trouble for the other "not-Romney," Newt Gingrich.

Since winning the South Carolina primary, the former House speaker has had a horrendous two weeks and was nearly invisible yesterday. The Georgian is pinning his hopes on a last stand in more-conservative Southern states that vote on "Super Tuesday" March 6, but Santorum's momentum may make it impossible for Gingrich to get his groove back.

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