Protests expected after Putin's near-certain victory

Posted: March 04, 2012

MOSCOW - Vladimir V. Putin appeared all but certain to return to the Kremlin in Sunday's Russian presidential election, but he'll find himself in charge of a country far more willing to challenge him.

An unprecedented wave of massive protests showed a substantial portion of the population was fed up with the political entrenchment Putin engineered since he first became president in 2000, and police were preparing for the possibility of postelection unrest in Moscow.

The Putin system of so-called managed democracy put liberal opposition forces under constant pressure, allowing them only rare permission to hold small rallies and bringing squads of police to harshly break up any unauthorized gathering.

The Kremlin gained control of all major television channels, whose news reports turned into uncritical recitations of Putin's programs, often augmented with admiring footage of him riding horseback, scuba-diving, or petting wild animals.

But the protests, sparked by allegations of fraud in December's parliamentary elections, forced notable changes.

Authorities gave permission, however grudgingly, for opposition rallies that attracted vast crowds, upward of 50,000 in Moscow. State television gave them substantial and mostly neutral coverage.

Whether that tolerance will last after the election is unclear. According to the most recent survey by the independent Levada Center polling agency, Putin is on track to win the election with around two-thirds of the vote against four challengers - enough to bolster his irritable denunciations of the protesters as a small, coddled minority.

Putin has repeatedly alleged that the protesters are stooges of Western countries that want to undermine Russia and he has mocked them, saying for instance that their white ribbon emblems looked like condoms.

Protests after the election appeared certain.

"People in Russia are not going to recognize Putin's victory in the first round," Alexei Navalny, one of the loosely knit opposition's most charismatic figures, declared flatly last week.

Whether Sunday's vote is seen as honest is likely to be key.

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