Handicapping U.S. Open

Posted: June 13, 2012

Handicapping 101

Or, trying to sort out some of the usual suspects:

Tiger Woods (5-1): You were expecting maybe Michelle Wie?

Luke Donald (10-1): He's majorless, but also No. 1 in the rankings.

Lee Westwood (12-1): Also majorless, has come close a lot lately.

Rory McIlroy (13-1): Defending champ had missed three straight cuts before losing late at St. Jude's Classic. Not many repeat in this major.

Phil Mickelson (15-1): Last time we saw him, he was shooting 79, but is a five-time runner-up.

Dustin Johnson (15-1): Some comeback after being off so long, but nobody wins Open the week after winning on PGA Tour.

Matt Kuchar (18-1): Having some season.

Jason Dufner (20-1): Having an even better one.

Bubba Watson (22-1): Only guy since Jack Nicklaus in 1972 to win first two majors was Tiger in 2002.

Jim Furyk (25-1): Has been playing well; just have a feeling.

Rickie Fowler (30-1): As long as he's not paired with Tiger in last round.

Jason Day (32-1): Has a way of being there in majors.

Hunter Mahan (35-1): Drives it straight, which never hurts.

Zach Johnson (38-1): Recent PGA Tour winner has struggled in this major.

Graeme McDowell (40-1): 2010 champ tied for 11th last year; also keeps it in fairway.

Davis Love III (50-1): Can't happen, but would make for quite a story line.

Five more to ponder: Keegan Bradley, Louis Oosthuizen, Ian Poulter, Ernie Els and Nick Watney.

The dreaded pick: Just when I thought I was out, he pulls me back in. I took Tiger in the Masters, against my better judgment, just because. Now I'm going to do something I've never done before, which is come right back and pick him again. Call it a mulligan. Honestly, I just don't know who else to go with. A friend told me 2 weeks ago that Tagger was going to win the Memorial and the Open. Maybe he's psychic. More likely it means Tiger will miss the cut. Whatever. That's my flawed logic and I'm sticking with it. For some reason I think Jim Furyk has a top 10 in him. Since I'm leading with chalk, I'll throw another longshot into the trifecta, that Ian Poulter bloke. With the provision that I promise to try and do better at next month's British Open.

– Mike Kern

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