Analysis: NCAA Tournament games at the Wells Fargo Center

Posted: March 22, 2013

Albany v. Duke, 12:15 p.m.

Albany will be looking to become the second straight 15 seed to knock off No. 2 Duke in the day's first game in Midwest Regional play. The Great Danes run their offense through their backcourt, which accounts for more than half of their 64.4 points per game. But they are undersized and vulnerable in the frontcourt. Duke senior center Mason Plumlee, who is 6-foot-10 and averages 17.2 points and 10.2 rebounds per game, creates a matchup problem for Albany.

Cincinnati v. Creighton, 30 minutes following the Duke-Albany game

No. 7 seed Creighton will take on No. 10 Cincinnati in a Midwest Regional game. The matchup will be between an offensive powerhouse and one of the country's best defenses. Creighton shoots 51 percent, ranking first in the country and averaging 75.4 points per game. The Cincinnati defense, which is a mix of man-to-man and zone, limits opponents to 58.8 points per game, ranked 22d in the country. However, the Bearcats will have their hands full trying to contain Creighton junior forward Doug McDermott, who averages 23.1 points per game.

Georgetown v. Florida Gulf Coast, 6:50 p.m.

Florida Gulf Coast, a 15 seed in the South Regional, runs a full-court offense, but will have trouble doing so against No. 2 Georgetown, who has had success dictating tempo. Georgetown's average of 12.7 turnovers per game could play into the Eagles' favor, as they like to force turnovers and get into transition. If the Hoyas can slow the game's pace and protect the ball, they can keep Florida Gulf Coast out of rhythm. Georgetown sophomore forward Otto Porter Jr., who averages 16.3 points per game and is the center of the Hoyas' offense, will dictate the team's success.

Oklahoma v. San Diego State

San Diego State, the No. 7 seed, struggles to score (69.2 points per game), but makes up for its lack of offensive prowess with effort and length in their backcourt. The Aztecs' trio of guards plays strong defense and is strong limiting opposing teams' outside shooting. However, Oklahoma will try to work the ball inside to senior forward Romero Osby, who averages 15.8 points and seven rebounds per game.

   - Joey Cranney

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